Quote #151,734
"Most successful pundits are selected for being opinionated, because it's interesting, and the penalt..." — Daniel Kahneman
Most successful pundits are selected for being opinionated, because it's interesting, and the penalties for incorrect predictions are negligible. You can make predictions, and a year later people won't remember them.
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View AllAfter a crisis we tell ourselves we understand why it happened and maintain the illusion that the world is understandable. In fact, we should accept the world is incomprehensible much of the time.— Daniel Kahneman